Prediction Markets

CFTC-2026-0331-0001Proposed Rule
Comments
3,535
Last activity Jun 16, 2026
Deadline
Closed on May 1, 2026
Closed May 1, 2026
Net supportiSupport minus oppose · campaigns included
+77%
+77% excluding campaigns
Document

Details

The document's own metadata, straight from the source system.

Title
Prediction Markets
Posted
Mar 16, 2026
Comment period
Mar 16, 2026 – May 1, 2026
FR Doc
2026-05105
Analysis

Overview

What the public is saying — stance, who's commenting, and the issues they raise.

Include campaigns
Analyzed 3,534 of 3,535 comments
100%· analysis in progress

Stance breakdown

+77%
Net support
Support3,090Oppose375Other69Not yet analyzed1
Aggregates include form-letter campaigns. Excluding them, net support is +77% across organic comments.

Who commented

Breakdown by commenter type.

Union
2
Individual
3,046
Government
88
Trade association
20
Advocacy
55
Academic
50
Business
244
Other
29
Not yet analyzed
1

Comments over time

Weekly arrivals, stacked by stance.

Posted Mar 16, 2026Deadline May 1, 2026
Apr 27Jun 15
Support3,090Oppose375Other69

Support × commenter type

How each type splits across stance.

Support
Oppose
Other
Individual
89%
10%
1%
Business
98%
1%
1%
Government
28%
60%
11%
Advocacy
53%
45%
2%
Academic
96%
0%
4%
Other
45%
7%
48%
Trade association
90%
10%
0%
Union
100%
0%
0%

Position map

Who stands where on each issue?

Every non-silent position is backed by an excerpt from the comment.

American Gas Association
Trade associationSupport
Market integrity and insider trading
Americans for Financial Reform Education Fund; Demand Progress Education Fund; Public Citizen
AdvocacyOppose
Gambling regulation
Arizona Indian Gaming Association
Trade associationSupport
Gambling regulation
Backpack Exchange
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Bay Mills Indian Community
AdvocacyOppose
Gambling regulation
California Nations Indian Gaming Association (CNIGA)
Trade associationOppose
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Tribal consultation
Casino Association of New Jersey (CANJ)
Trade associationSupport
Gambling regulation
Cboe Global Markets, Inc.
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Cherokee Nation
GovernmentSupport
Tribal consultation
Chickasaw Nation
GovernmentSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Choctaw Nation of Oklahoma
GovernmentOppose
Tribal consultation
City of Detroit
GovernmentSupport
Gambling regulation
CME Group Inc.
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Coinbase
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Colorado River Indian Tribes
AdvocacyOppose
Gambling regulation
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Confederated Tribes of the Grand Ronde Community of Oregon
GovernmentOppose
Tribal consultation
Consumer Action for a Strong Economy
AdvocacyOppose
Gambling regulation
Sports integrity and athlete protection
Cowlitz Indian Tribe
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Crypto Council for Innovation
Trade associationSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Market integrity and insider trading
De Silva Law Offices, LLC
BusinessSupport
Market integrity and insider trading
Delaware North
BusinessOppose
Gambling regulation
Democracy Defenders Fund
AdvocacySupport
Market integrity and insider trading
Dragonfly Digital Management, LLC
BusinessSupport
Market integrity and insider trading
Elk Valley Rancheria
GovernmentSupport
Tribal consultation
Federated Indians of Graton Rancheria
GovernmentSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Tribal consultation
First Strike Research
BusinessSupport
Fond du Lac Band of Lake Superior Chippewa
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Gila River Indian Community
GovernmentSupport
Gambling regulation
Hivemind Capital Partners LLC
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
ICE, Inc.
BusinessSupport
Intercontinental Exchange Inc.
BusinessSupport
Kickapoo Tribe of Oklahoma
GovernmentOppose
Tribal consultation
Lac Courte Oreilles Band of Lake Superior Chippewa Indians
GovernmentOppose
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Lac Courte Oreilles Band of Lake Superior Chippewa Indians of Wisconsin
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Laguna Development Corporation
BusinessOppose
Gambling regulation
Levr Labs Inc.
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Lexicon Labs
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Lincoln Policy Group
AdvocacySupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Little River Band of Ottawa Indians
GovernmentSupport
Tribal consultation
Little Traverse Bay Bands of Odawa Indians
GovernmentOppose
Tribal consultation
local hardware store
BusinessSupport
Gambling regulation
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Market integrity and insider trading
Lytton Rancheria of California
GovernmentOppose
Tribal consultation
Mad River Glen Capital
BusinessSupport
Mashantucket Pequot Tribal Nation
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Match-E-Be-Nash-She-Wish Band of Pottawatomi
GovernmentOppose
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Tribal consultation
Mille Lacs Band of Ojibwe Indians
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Missouri Gaming Commission
GovernmentSupport
Gambling regulation
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Sports integrity and athlete protection
Mohegan Tribe
GovernmentOppose
Tribal consultation
More Perfect Union
AdvocacySupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Market integrity and insider trading
Multicoin Capital Management, LLC
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Muscogee (Creek) Nation Office of Public Gaming and Muscogee Nation Gaming Enterprises
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
National Congress of American Indians
AdvocacyOppose
Tribal consultation
National Thoroughbred Racing Association
Trade associationSupport
Gambling regulation
National Tribal Gaming Commissioners & Regulators (NTGCR)
Trade associationOppose
Tribal consultation
NBA
AdvocacySupport
Sports integrity and athlete protection
NCAA
AdvocacySupport
Sports integrity and athlete protection
NIBA
Trade associationSupport
Gambling regulation
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
North Fork Rancheria of Mono Indians of California
GovernmentSupport
Gambling regulation
Ohkay Owingeh
GovernmentOther
Tribal consultation
Oklahoma Indian Gaming Association
AdvocacyOppose
Gambling regulation
Oneida Nation
AdvocacyOppose
Gambling regulation
Paragon Global Markets, LLC and Morton St. Trading Investments, LLC.
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Pechanga Band of Indians
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Penobscot Nation
GovernmentOppose
Tribal consultation
Performance Predictions II LLC
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
PGA TOUR
BusinessSupport
Sports integrity and athlete protection
Polymarket US
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Market integrity and insider trading
Port Gamble S'Klallam Tribe
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Powerhouse Prediction Ventures Inc
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Sports integrity and athlete protection
Prairie Band Potawatomi Tribal Gaming Commission
GovernmentSupport
Tribal consultation
Prospective Event Contract Exchange — Abu Dhabi Global Market
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Pueblo of Acoma
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Pueblo of Isleta
GovernmentOppose
Tribal consultation
Rincon Band of Luiseño Indians
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Robinhood Derivatives, LLC
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Sports integrity and athlete protection
Saint Regis Mohawk Tribe
GovernmentOppose
Tribal consultation
Seminole Nation of Oklahoma
GovernmentOppose
Tribal consultation
Seneca Cayuga Nation Office of the Gaming Commissioner
GovernmentOther
Tribal consultation
small hedge fund
BusinessSupport
Market integrity and insider trading
Smarkets Limited
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Solana Policy Institute
AdvocacySupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Spokane Tribe of Indians
AdvocacyOppose
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Sports Fans Coalition, Inc.
AdvocacySupport
Sports integrity and athlete protection
Stillaguamish Tribe of Indians
AdvocacyOppose
Gambling regulation
Stockbridge-Munsee Community
GovernmentSupport
Gambling regulation
Suquamish Indian Tribe
GovernmentSupport
Gambling regulation
Swinomish Indian Tribal Community
AdvocacyOppose
Gambling regulation
Tennessee Sports Wagering Council
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
The Digital Chamber ("TDC")
Trade associationSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Tohono O'odham Nation
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Tölt Strategies LLC & Eventus Systems Inc
BusinessSupport
Tonto Apache Tribe
GovernmentOppose
Gambling regulation
Topstep
BusinessSupport
Sports integrity and athlete protection
Underdog Sports Holdings, Inc.
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Sports integrity and athlete protection
United States Senate
GovernmentSupport
Gambling regulation
Market integrity and insider trading
Viohl & Associates
BusinessSupport
Gambling regulation
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Market integrity and insider trading
Vitruvitas
BusinessSupport
Jurisdiction over prediction markets
Yuhaaviatam of San Manuel Nation
GovernmentOppose
Tribal consultation

26 organization-typed comments could not be identified.

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